WARMER MIDCON THIS WEEKEND

Central US warmer trends continued, some hesitancy on expansion into PJM

Sunday, August 9, 20261:22 PM ETJohn Homenuk | Founder & Chief Meteorologist

Morning Headline

Model data trended warmer this weekend across the Central US and Midcon regions, as expected and gained 5-6 CDD's across the board since Friday. Resistance to the Northeast expansion of this warmth continued, particularly in PJM. This casts some doubt on intensity of warmth in those regions in the 11-15 day forecast, but raises confidence on continued warmth in Central US.

3 Things That Matter This Morning

01Central US trended warmer in both 6-10 and 11-15 roll-on period
02PJM (DC region specifically) also saw slight warm trends, but resistance to major heat
03Potential retrograde of ridging past 8/25 lowers confidence on Northeast US heat persistence